I am about half convinced a this point given the level of rhetoric that the first open Russian incursion into eastern Ukraine will happen by the end of the month. I would guess it will be an aerial incursion, probably a helicopter gunship that crosses the border and penetrates 15-20 km’s. At this point I would not b surprised if Russia orchestrated somebody firing on said incursion to give causus belli.
Periodic World Craziness Update # 31
The latest month’s wackiness in the world of international relations, politics, and brinkmanship. Ukraine battles militants, Russia demands cash for gas: The hijinks continue. I am very curious to see what happens in the Elections on 25 May. If the current regime is selected they gain instant credibility and legitimacy and I would expect them to double down on their efforts to crush the eastern separatists. Hard for NATO to defend Baltic states from Russia – Spiegel: This should not be news for anyone who has paid attention to the anemic state of the militaries of mos NATO countries. The question is will Russia even go after the Baltic states? … More after the Jump…